That’s based solely on this fact: The first two days’ weights this year have matched the 2014 totals from the St. Johns River almost exactly. In 2014, 50th place after two days was 28-14. This year it was 28-12.
However, 12th place after two days in 2014 was 37-3. It was slightly less yesterday – 35-15. So with history as a guide, it will probably take close to 54 pounds to make Sunday’s top 12. It took 54-3 after three days in 2014.