Classic Predictions: Winning lure

What lure type will win the 2014 GEICO Classic? It's anybody's guess, but here's what the competitor's think.

If you ask the 2014 GEICO Bassmaster Classic presented by Diet Mountain Dew and GoPro qualifiers which lure type will win the tournament (and I did), most will tell you that it'll be won on a combination of baits by an angler who effectively picks apart his best areas with a variety of presentations.

But if you press them (and I did that, too), you can get them to say a little more, be a little more definitive and narrow things to just one bait type.

And the consensus? Well, you'll have to keep reading … just a little more. For now, you'll be interested to know that only a handful of lure types were even mentioned — diving crankbaits (anything with a bill), lipless crankbaits, jerkbaits, jigs, spinnerbaits and swimbaits. Not only was nothing else selected, but no other type was even mentioned in passing — except for the castable umbrella rig. Several of the anglers agreed that a CUR would be tough to beat on Guntersville right now. Of course, the rules don't allow it in the Classic or in an Elite Series event.

Here's the bait type that each Classic qualifier selected as the winning lure:

Casey Ashley

lipless crankbait

Josh Bertrand

jerkbait

Tommy Biffle

lipless crankbait

Patrick Bone

diving crankbait

Stephen Browning

lipless crankbait

Coby Carden

diving crankbait

Brent Chapman

lipless crankbait

Hank Cherry

lipless

Jason Christie

jig

Keith Combs

lipless crankbait

John Crews

diving crankbait

Cliff Crochet

lipless crankbait

Mark Davis

swimbait

Ott DeFoe

jerkbait

Mark Dove

lipless crankbait

Edwin Evers

lipless crankbait

Todd Faircloth

lipless crankbait

Randy Howell

lipless crankbait

Rich Howes

jig

Michael Iaconelli

lipless crankbait

Tim Johnston

lipless crankbait

Alton Jones

lipless crankbait

Chris Jones

spinnerbait

Steve Kennedy

lipless crankbait

David Kilgore

lipless crankbait

Gary Klein

would not specify

Bobby Lane

lipless crankbait

Chris Lane

lipless crankbait

Jordan Lee

jig

Bill Lowen

jig

Jeff Lugar

diving crankbait

Aaron Martens

lipless crankbait

Yusuke Miyazaki

lipless crankbait

Ish Monroe

jig

Chad Morgenthalerlipless crankbait

 

Rick Morris

bladed swim jig

Paul Mueller

lipless crankbait

John Murray

swimbait

Takahiro Omori

diving crankbait

Brandon Palaniuk

lipless crankbait

Clifford Pirch

swimbait

Skeet Reese

would not specify

Dean Rojas

diving crankbait

Fred Roumbanis

swimbait

Terry Scroggins

swimbait

Morizo Shimizu

diving crankbait

Gerald Swindle

lipless crankbait

Randall Tharp

diving crankbait

Doug Thompson

lipless crankbait

Jonathon VanDam

lipless crankbait

Kevin VanDam

diving crankbait

Greg Vinson

lipless crankbait

Adam Wagner

lipless crankbait

David Walker

lipless crankbait

Chris Zaldain

lipless crankbait

If you're keeping track (and you are keeping track, right?), it breaks down like this:

58.5% – lipless crankbait
15.1% – diving crankbait
9.4% – swimbait
7.5% – jig
3.8% – jerkbait
1.9% – bladed swim jig
1.9% – spinnerbait

Will it hold true for the tournament? Maybe. But knowing what the majority thinks is far from knowing what the eventual winner is doing. After all, the lone angler who picked a spinnerbait (Chris Jones) might be on a monstrous spinnerbait bite that puts everyone else in his wake, slapping their foreheads and asking "Why didn't I think of that?"

When I was interviewing the qualifiers, there were often three or four of them standing around talking as I jumped in to ask this question. They were able to hear each other's answers. A couple of times an angler would pick a lure type and the guy standing next to him would say something like, "A crankbait?! I don't even have a crankbait in my boat!"

I thought that was pretty funny stuff.