The odds of a winning weight nearing the century mark are low but not impossible.
By Day 3 what we do know is a majority of the Toledo Bend bass population is post-spawn. Some spawning fish remain and the full moon is nearing. The lunar phase and steadily warming temperatures could trigger a final wave into spawning. Look for the weights to climb if that happens.
“The fish are in between the postspawn and summertime patterns,” said Matt Lee. “My hope with the full moon coming is that one more wave will come shallow.”
Lee wants that because he’s fishing for spawning bass. He’s betting on the come. What comes in will be quality in size. He considers it worth the gamble after making the Top 50 cut on Day 2.
“I’m catching a lot of spawners but there are guys around me catching postspawners, too,” he continued.
Keith Combs, who lives nearer Sam Rayburn but not far from Toledo Bend, agrees with Lee.
“The reason the weights are so low is that we are here during an in-between time,” he said. “Once they get out on the ledges, like they did last year, you will see those huge weights get caught.”
Combs believes the potential remains for catching a huge limit of postspawners remains.
“If someone can be in the right place at the right time then a huge wave of seven or eight pounders could come out,” he added. “It will be one of those deals where you can catch one on every cast.”
Combs, like everyone else fishing today, is all fishing the same way. Wide open.
“Today we are all swinging for the fences because none of us having anything to loose,” he added.
Indeed. At any time Toledo Bend could show it’s true potential. Being in the right place, at the right time, is what will win it all.