I mentioned earlier that if one of these guys really needed to put the pressure on that they might try Moccasin Gap.
Evidently, Kennedy is that guy. All I can say is, the crazy sucker backed off, got a good look at the Gap and went straight through it.
He didn't appear to have bumped, scratched or hit anything. Now he's in the section with nothing but Jordan Dam in his way.
If he pulls this off, this could very well be that huge chance we talked about that proves to be the difference.
So here I sit doing what I said I would never do again, blogging. But there are no anglers in sight and we are sitting in the Coosa River waiting on Brent Chapman to kayak back our way.
Pictured is Steve Wright, blogger extraordinaire, and all the essentials apparently needed to survive a day of blogging. Of course you see a laptop and a river map ... and for some reason, an ammo box. It reminds me of a 'bug out' bag that the 'end of the world as we know it' people have at the ready.
Included in Wright's end-of-the-world blog kit is rope, Velcro straps, five cans of Copenhagen, Rolaids, parachute cord, Grime Boss heavy duty hand cleaner, JB Weld, wire pliers, Swiss Army knife, toothpicks, aspirin, several lighters, corkscrew wine opener, IGFA tape measure, first aid stuff, and on and on.
Everything but a pair of reading glasses that I really need right now.
Which is why I am quitting blogging again.
We've run back up to Mocassin Gap chasing Steve Kennedy. He has taken the risk and worked his way up to these powerful rapids. He just caught a nonkeeper in the little eddy you see in the photo. As Steve Wright has detailed in previous posts, Kennedy knows these waters well. Today he's willing to take some risks to compete with leader Brent Chapman.
Shortly after this photo was taken, Kennedy got a running start and shot cleanly through the rocks of Moccasin Gap. He's now motoring toward Jordan Dam. We'll find out soon if this gamble will pay off.
Tommy Biffle reaches for another catch.
Photo by Jeff Mason
Tommy Biffle, in 10th place on Day Four, now has five fish in his livewell.
After dropping off TV film, I found Chapman on the same spot was Kennedy was. Chapman tried to idle through a set of big rocks and couldn't. Then he went downstream for a bit and put his boat on full plane and went over the gap safely.
These back-to-back weeks with the Bassmasters can be hard on a man left to his devices — emphasis on "vices." Pickled eggs and pork rinds — ain't livin' long like this.
To apply Ken's Comeback Formula (KCF) to the tournament today, we start with the leader's weight going into the final round. Brent Chapman is in first place with 59 pounds, 4 ounces. On Day 1, Kelly Jordon caught the biggest bass weighed in so far. It was 6 pounds, 4 ounces. When you subtract 6-4 from 59-4, you get 53-0. Everyone with that weight or better going into the finals has a chance to win. For anyone outside that range, I stand by my earlier statement: It would take a miracle.
So who's in range? Well, it starts with the leader, Brent Chapman. The leader naturally has the biggest edge, and 61 percent of Day 3 leaders go on to win. Next in line is AOY frontrunner Edwin Evers. He's a little more than a pound back and very much within range of the win. Steve Kennedy has 55 pounds and is 4-4 behind Chapman, so he's in range. Alton Jones is fourth with 53-14 — 5-6 out. Behind him is Bobby Lane with 51-0. Lane is more than eight pounds off the pace.
According to KCF, only the top four anglers coming into today's competition have a chance of winning. I won't defend the formula except to say that it's never failed in the entire history of the Elite Series.
Another reason to put your money on the top four anglers is that the top four going into the finals have won 94 percent of all Elite events. Only four times has angler outside the top four gone on to win, and half of those times were in the last two tournaments.
Next we'll talk about what constitutes a "miracle."
Brent Chapman just made a liar out of himself. After attempting to go up, Chapman said he wasn't going above Corn Creek Shoals after seeing what happened to David Walker.
Elias holds on to this keeper and upgrades. He has upgraded three times in the last 20 minutes.
Photo by Jimmy Murphy