We don’t know who’s going to be in the top four of the standings after today, but whoever’s in the bottom four is going to have his work cut out for him. Right now Brent Chapman, Matt Herren, Randy Howell and Terry Scroggins are bringing up the rear, and that’s a bad place to be on a tough fishery, but it could be worse.
As someone who scours the numbers of bass tournaments, I can tell you that the easiest situation in which to make up a big deficit is when the fishing’s tough but the bass are hefty. It makes sense, right? After all, if most of the field is struggling to catch fish but you have a limit and the fish are pretty big, you can make a big jump in the standings just by having a decent day.
Conversely, if the fishing’s easy (everybody has a limit) and the bass are small (you’re culling for an ounce here and an ounce there), it’s practically impossible to make up any ground, no matter what anybody else might tell you.
The situation on Lake Shelbyville is somewhere in the middle, and I’ll tell you more on that in just a moment.