We've got a very tight tournament on Toledo Bend going into the final round. Just 5 pounds separates the top seven anglers, so a lot of guys have a fighting chance out there.
Do you know the lowest seeded angler going into Day Four who went on to win an Elite Series tournament? If you do, I'm impressed. If not, I'm here to tell you it was Todd Faircloth on Lake Amistad in 2008 ... but that was a strange situation and doesn't really compare to what we have today on Toledo Bend.
Faircloth was in ninth place after the second round, trailing Jason Williamson by 8-11. Day 3 was canceled due to dangerous weather, and Faircloth hammered 'em in the finals.
The reason that tournament was so different is that it lasted just three days, instead of the usual four, and the fishing was really good — much better than it is at Toledo Bend. Those two things matter because it's 50 percent easier to make a big jump in a three-day tournament than it is in a four-day tournament, and because it's easier to improve dramatically when big catches are a possibility.
If you disregard that comeback from our comparison (and you should), the biggest comeback in Elite Series history came on the Mississippi River in 2009. Kevin Short was in sixth place going into the finals, 4-15 back of Billy McCaghren, when he came on to win.